IPO GMP, Latest IPO Grey Market Premium & Kostak Rates

Current IPO GMP Today

Check the latest IPO analysis and the estimated grey market rates of the Forthcoming IPO with listing gain as given below:

IPO Kostak & Subject to Sauda Rates

What is IPO GMP?

The IPO Grey Market Premium (GMP) refers to the difference between the IPO’s issue price and its trading price in the grey market. Before an IPO officially hits the stock exchanges for public trading, there is a period during which unofficial trading of the IPO shares takes place in the grey market. The grey market is an over-the-counter market where buying and selling of shares happen without the involvement of the stock exchanges.

An IPO grey market premium (IPO GMP) is the difference between the price at which shares of an Initial Public Offering (IPO) are traded in the grey market and the issue price set by the company. The grey market is an unofficial market where shares can be bought and sold before they are listed on a stock exchange. GMP can be used as a gauge of investor sentiment toward an IPO. A high GMP suggests that investors are bullish on the company and expect the share price to rise when it lists on the stock exchange. A low GMP suggests that investors are bearish on the company and expect the share price to fall when it lists.

It is important to note that the GMP is not always an accurate predictor of how the share price will perform when the IPO lists on the stock exchange. There are a number of factors that can affect the share price on the listing, such as the level of demand from institutional investors and the overall market conditions. The GMP is simply a reflection of investor sentiment at a particular point in time. The actual performance of the shares will depend on a number of factors, including the company’s performance, general market conditions, and other factors. One key aspect that captures the interest of potential investors is the IPO Grey Market Premium (GMP). This article aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of IPO GMP, IPOs, and their significance in the IPO grey market.

The IPO GMP gives an indication of market sentiment towards the IPO. If the GMP is positive, it means that the shares are being traded at a higher price than the issue price, indicating strong demand for the IPO. Conversely, a negative GMP means the shares are being traded below the issue price, suggesting weak demand.

Let’s see how to calculate the estimated listing price after adding a premium. If the grey market shows the rate of an IPO is ₹100 and the IPO price is around ₹200 then the estimated listing price will be around ₹300. Based on the calculation the listing gain will be 50% against the IPO price.

The listing of an IPO might vary against the estimated listing price suggested by the grey market due to the bull/bear market or the demand for the company shares. We have witnessed that some of the IPOs had lower grey markets but listed with higher gains while a few IPOs in 2021 were a grey market was on the higher side but the listing was at the lower levels. As the grey market is always one of the strong factors for the IPO listing gain calculation but we highly recommend investors use the grey market rates for just information, do not trade based on the numbers.

Important Points to Consider about IPO GMP:

• The grey market transactions are unofficial and that is an involvement of IPO investors and the stockbrokers. It depends on the trust between both parties.
• Read our IPO analysis before applying for an IPO.
• The grey market rates are calculated and provided or sourced from market research or experts.
• We do not recommend trading in the Grey Market as it’s illegal.
• Kostak Rate is the premium one gets by selling his/her IPO application (in an off-market transaction) to someone else even before allotment or listing of the issue.
• Do not subscribe to the IPO on the premium given above. It may change anytime before listing.
• Subscribe only considering the Fundamentals of the companies.

Past IPO Grey Market Premium of IPO 2022-2023:

IPO Grey Market FAQs:

What is Grey Market Premium?

The IPO Grey Market Premium (IPO GMP) refers to the premium or additional price at which IPO shares are traded unofficially before their official listing on a stock exchange. It represents the market’s perception of the potential value and demand for the shares.

The “grey market premium” aka “IPO GMP” is a term people use in the IPO market to check what is the estimated price the IPO might list. It is unofficial, but investors look at an IPO’s grey market price to get the stock’s fixed gain. It works before the IPO listing and during the days from the IPO start date to the allotment date. The grey market premium indicates how the IPO might react on a listing day with an estimated price.

Let’s see how the IPO GMP calculation goes on. If the company comes up with an IPO of ₹100 and the grey market premium is around ₹20 then we can assume that the IPO might list at around ₹120 on its listing day. But the fact is, there is no reliability. In most cases, IPO GMP works but in some cases, it’s not. We have observed that if the IPO is in demand and the estimated HNI and QIB subscription is on the higher side, the IPO list around the given price with an estimated IPO GMP.

What Factors are Influencing IPO GMP?

Several factors contribute to the IPO Grey Market Premium, including:

• Company Fundamentals: Strong financials, growth prospects, and a reputable management team can positively impact the GMP.
• Market Conditions: Overall market sentiment, sector performance, and economic factors influence investor appetite for IPOs.
• Demand and Supply Dynamics: The number of shares available and the level of investor interest play a crucial role in determining the GMP.

What is Kostak Rate?

The Kostak rate is the amount that one investor pays to the seller of an IPO application before the IPO listing. As the grey market reacts the Kostak rates also react that way. One can buy and sell their full IPO application on Kostak rates outside the market and fix their profit. The Kostak rates apply whether the investor gets the IPO allotment or not, the buyer should pay the Kostak rates for the IPO.

If one did 5 applications for one IPO and sold the same at ₹1000 per application it means he or she secured the IPO profit at ₹5000 rupees. If he gets the allotment in 2 applications still his profit will be ₹5000. Now if he sells the stock and gets a profit of around ₹10000 then he or she needs to give the remaining profit of ₹5000 to the investor who bought the application. This is the secure way to sell your application in the IPO grey market.

What is Subject to Sauda?

As per the Kostak rate, the Subject to Sauda on the application is the amount decided when the investors get the firm allotment on their IPO Application. If one buys or sells the IPO application on the subject to sauda it means one can get the said amount if one gets the allotment otherwise sauda will be canceled. In this one can not fix their profit as it depends on the allotment. Again if one gets an allotment and he or she sold the application for around ₹10000 and the profit goes high on listing day around ₹15000 then one should pay ₹5000 to the guy who bought the application.

How to Calculate Grey Market Premium?

The IPO GMP aka grey market premium is a price that is traded in the grey market before the IPO listing process. The calculation is done based on the company’s performance, its demand in the grey market, and the probability of the subscription. Let’s assume that if the X IPO price is fixed at ₹200 and the grey market is showing the rate of ₹100 it means the IPO might list at ₹300 (ie: ₹200+₹100). Still, this is an assumption but the actual listing might vary from the grey market price.

Are Grey Market Stocks Safe?

It depends on the broker or the trading person and We suggest it is not safe. If you are trading in the grey market it will be at your own risk. There might be fluctuations on a higher side so one needs to do it with precautions. As we suggest just refer to the IPO GMP for the listing gain purpose. Be wise and trade in the primary market after listing only.

How Do I Buy / Sell IPO Application in Grey Market?

There are no official people or businesses associated with the grey market. Some brokers buy and sell IPO applications on Kostak Rates or Subject to Sauda Rates based on the IPO GMP. One should find local brokers who stay between buyers and sellers and do the grey market trading of IPO applications. Be aware of the rates and then do the buying or selling.

Significance of IPO GMP

The IPO Grey Market Premium serves as an indicator of market sentiment and the perceived value of the IPO shares. It allows potential investors to gauge the level of demand and the premium they may have to pay if they wish to purchase shares during the IPO. However, it’s essential to note that the GMP doesn’t guarantee future performance and is subject to change.